China in The Future

Another copy from my Facebook journal -

Somehow, I just imagine - in emerging markets like China, there are five elements that need to come together to provide an end-to-end solution for computing and connectivity.

First, build a city-wide wireless mesh network. This will provide the connectivity fabric and provide an alternative to getting DSL or cable (or waiting for WiMax).

Second, use a variety of access devices to connect to the network. These could be PCs or network computers. We will also see mobile devices like the brand new Nokia or SonyEricsson and phones with Wi-Fi built in connecting to the mesh network.

Third, provide a backend computing and storage grid. This helps centralise computing and provides for seamless mobility for users. It also makes computing much more affordable and manageable.

Fourth, provide applications and content from a centralised grid to users over the wireless mesh networks.

Finally, use advertising to reduce the price that users have to pay for the service. The key is to be able to offer the base service for no more than $10 a month for the entire solution (device, connectivity and services), with additional revenue possible through value-added services.

This is what will make computing and the Internet take off in China. At minimum fees a month, computing will become much more affordable. The wireless mesh networks help in rapid deployment. Customers can buy the access device (PC or network computer) independently and 'plug' it into the wireless envelope. China needs to rapidly proliferate broadband and computers across homes, schools and small- and medium-sized enterprises.

The use of network computers along with city wireless networks is a giant step in bringing tomorrow's world to life. From a laggard in broadband and computing, China can be a leader in this space - and a beacon for other emerging markets.

Next questions - when and where?